On December 11, 2024, fierce clashes broke out between Somali federal forces and Jubaland regional forces in Ras Kamboni. The tension escalated when the federal government challenged the re-election of President Ahmed Madhub. Jubaland fighters held their positions and resisted, leading to the detention of more than 250 federal troops.
After the clashes, about 600 federal troops retreated into Kenya, where they were disarmed by Kenyan authorities. The escalating tensions have raised serious questions about Somalia’s internal stability and raised fears of a negative impact on ongoing operations against extremist groups.
Origins and Causes of the Ras Kamboni Battle
The fighting in Ras Kamboni erupted when the Federal Government of Somalia refused to recognize the re-election of President Ahmed Madoub. Reportedly, 70% of Jubaland’s leadership rejected federal intervention, calling it a threat to sovereignty. Tensions escalated when more than 3,000 troops were mobilized on both sides.
Military Engagements and Key Strategic Movements
About 5,000 troops took part in the fierce fighting, where federal forces mounted three major operations. The Jubaland fighters maintained control of key points as part of their defensive strategy and captured around 250 opposition soldiers. At the end of the fighting, at least 600 federal troops retreated to Kenya, where they were disarmed by Kenyan authorities.
Casualties, Displacements, and Humanitarian Impact
More than 200 people, including soldiers and civilians, were killed in the clash. According to estimates, around 10,000 people were forced to flee Ras Kamboni to seek shelter in nearby areas. Humanitarian aid organizations recorded a 40 percent increase in aid requests due to food shortages and increased medical needs.
Political and Security Implications for Somalia and the Region
The fighting has deepened political divisions in Somalia, with 60% of lawmakers expressing concern over federal government abuses. Experts say that the situation of instability in Jubaland may disrupt the ongoing counter-terrorism operations against al-Shabaab. Regional partners, particularly Kenya, have increased their border security in response to the risk of the conflict spreading.
The fighting in Ras Kamboni has further complicated the political and military differences between Somalia’s federal government and Jubaland, raising concerns about the country’s long-term stability. Significant casualties and widespread displacement in the conflict have threatened regional security and the campaign against terrorism. A durable diplomatic solution is needed to prevent further escalation of tensions.
